{"id":9437,"date":"2016-06-24T10:28:18","date_gmt":"2016-06-24T17:28:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/?p=9437"},"modified":"2016-06-24T10:45:27","modified_gmt":"2016-06-24T17:45:27","slug":"on-the-united-kingdom-brexit-scexit-and-irexit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/2016\/06\/24\/on-the-united-kingdom-brexit-scexit-and-irexit\/","title":{"rendered":"on the (dis)united kingdom: brexit, scexit, and irexit"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I was up all yesterday and last night watching votes come in on Brexit, and I&#8217;m as surprised as the next supervillain, or, for that matter, the next Briton who has been googling <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/the-switch\/wp\/2016\/06\/24\/the-british-are-frantically-googling-what-the-eu-is-hours-after-voting-to-leave-it\/\">exactly what is the EU, anyway?<\/a> after the vote.<\/p>\n<p>I posted a bunch on my old LJ\/DW account pair, <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/solarbird.livejournal.com\">which you can read here if you want<\/a>, but that&#8217;s just tracking financial reaction. I&#8217;m really thinking about just the UK, at the moment, and what happens politically now. In that, I&#8217;m assuming in this that the EU manages to stay together without the UK, which will certainly be the number one project of everyone over <Em>there<\/em> for the next five years.<\/p>\n<p>Scotland will treat this as an abrogation of promises made in 2014 to entice it to stay in the UK. A big one of those was continued and certain EU membership.<\/p>\n<p>Scotland, of course, voted overwhelmingly &#8211; and across all of the country &#8211; to stay. Northern Ireland voted soundly to stay as well, but less overwhelmingly, and doesn&#8217;t have a recent close referendum on leaving. Both the SNP and Sinn F\u00e9in have called for new referenda on separation, and everyone&#8217;s treating the Scottish call more seriously &#8211; including, I note, the Scots.<\/p>\n<p>But I&#8217;m not sure that&#8217;s the right analysis. I think it&#8217;ll come down to borders.<\/p>\n<p>The biggest question in both cases comes down to free movement. Within the EU, you have free movement; border controls are not really a big issue for Europeans.<\/p>\n<p><center><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/solarbird.net\/Livejournal\/2016-06\/eu-internal-border.jpg\"><\/center><\/p>\n<p>But outside the UK, there are, of course, plenty of border controls. <Em>If those controls reappear<\/eM>, I think Northern Ireland tells the UK to fuck off. The smart thing for Sinn F\u00e9in might be to wait &#8217;till those border controls start showing up.<\/p>\n<p><center><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/solarbird.net\/Livejournal\/2016-06\/eu-external-border.jpg\"><br \/><i>It won&#8217;t be like this, because that&#8217;s Africa and the racism is fierce.<br \/>But it&#8217;ll be controls of some sort, and this is the image to use.<\/i><\/center><\/p>\n<p>And if those border controls reappearing are <Em>part of<\/em> Scottish independence, I can&#8217;t but wonder if that means the Scots will <EM>stay<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Scotland and England have had free borders for a very, very long time. In the last vote, that was brought up, but you&#8217;d&#8217;ve had EU co-membership, making the issue moot. In a <em>new<\/em> vote&#8230; not so much.<\/p>\n<p>So I think they might well have it backwards. Irish reunification, yes; Scottish independence, no.<\/p>\n<p>And, of course, across all of it, ample chances in destabilisation. Supervillains and day-traders, be on alert, opportunity goddamn <Em>knocks<\/em>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I was up all yesterday and last night watching votes come in on Brexit, and I&#8217;m as surprised as the next supervillain, or, for that matter, the next Briton who has been googling exactly what is the EU, anyway? after the vote. I posted a bunch on my old LJ\/DW account pair, which you can [&#038;hellip<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9437","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9437","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9437"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9437\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9443,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9437\/revisions\/9443"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9437"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9437"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/crimeandtheforcesofevil.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9437"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}